Bei den Landtagswahlen in Rheinland-Pfalz und Baden-Württemberg schienen Kandidatinnen und Kandidaten besonders wichtig zu sein. Stimmt das eigentlich? Darüber habe ich mit Dietmar Telser von tagesschau.de gesprochen. https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/wahlen/personalisierung-wahlkampf-101.html
Auch mit der AZ haber ich mich über die mobilisierende Wirkung der Briefwahl unterhalten. [contentcards url="https://www.allgemeine-zeitung.de/politik/rheinland-pfalz/rheinland-pfalz-verschickt-wahlbenachrichtigungen_23085354" target="_blank"]
Mit dem SWR habe ich über die Bedeutung der Briefwahl für den Wahlkampf und die zu erwartende Mobilisierung bei der Landtagswahl in Rheinland-Pfalz gesprochen. Das Ergebnis findet sich hier. [contentcards url="https://www.swr.de/swraktuell/rheinland-pfalz/corona-experte-landtagswahl-rp-100.html" target="_blank"]
Over at Crooked Timber, John Quiggin asks an odd yet interesting question: Would Republican voters rather live under a government like that of Russia, or one like that of California? Barbara McQuade, an actual law professor and former US attorney, argues that what the testimonies from the impeachment hearings add up to bribery. Still not sure if…
LEFT 30.4% AfD 23.5% CDU 22.1% SPD 8.1% GREENS 5.1% FDP 5.1% Source: FGW projection, 8:10pm Why waste my life writing lengthy books that no-one is going to read? Why go through the pain of peer review? Why, in fact, wait for the actual election results to come in? So here is my list on…
The other day, an American journalist wanted to talk about the Sweden Democrat’s role in the upcoming Swedish election. Being no country specialist, I tried to deflect the request, but he sent me some more specific questions anyway, which I tried to answer to the best of my abilities. Unsurprisingly, I provided too much detail,…
Elections in Europe: great expectations. [caption id="attachment_28012" align="alignright" width="300"] Source: Evans & Ivaldi, SCoRE project[/caption] 2017 was a year of high-profile national elections in Europe, in which the Radical Right was expected to do particularly well. Balanced and neutral as ever, the Express claimed that the votes in France, Germany, and the Netherlands could DESTROY…
After three years or so, there is a publication date for our Handbook of Electoral Behaviour: it will be out in mid-March (2017) and could be yours for a mere 240 quid (hey, that’s a ten per cent pre-publication discount!). Delectable as it is, it is somewhat unlikely that you would want to buy this…
The good folks over at the LSE (which, apart from running one of the most vibrant Political Science blogging sites on the planet also happens to host a university) have kindly asked me to look ahead at the likely outcome of the German Federal Election in September in general and the role of the Alternative…
With the vote mostly counted in the US, PS have posted a useful summary of the Political Science Forecasting Models for that infamous election. [contentcards url="http://www.politicalsciencenow.com/how-accurate-were-the-political-science-forecasts-of-the-2016-presidential-election/"] By and large, and in neat contrast to the current fad for self-flagellation, the augurs of the discipline have done well. Eight of the ten predictions that were published in…