Radical right voting as class-voting, 2024 edition

Studying the far-right vote in Europe, again

This winter, I’m teaching a new iteration of my MA reading class on far-right voting in Europe. I have been doing this for a long time, and every now and then I feel the urge to summarise decades of research by stating the obvious: some people are simply racist arseholes. But there we are.

My initial plan was to post a short summary of the respective class each week, but other things intervened. However, four weeks in, it’s not too late yet to go back to my notes.

Class-voting? Tri-polar spaces?

Oesch and Rennwald (2018) is already a modern classic. While I generally selected the very latest literature on far-right voting for this course, I decided to start with this article because it provides a very useful introduction to some basic concepts, and because it worked well in a past reading class.
Oesch, Daniel and Line Rennwald. “Electoral Competition in Europe’s New Tripolar Political Space: Class Voting for the Left, Centre-right and Radical Right.” European Journal of Political Research 57 (2018): 783–807. doi:10.1111/1475-6765.12259
Most students are familiar with the idea of two-dimensional political competition, but their grasp of class-voting is more tenuous. And few have heard of the idea (popularised three decades ago by Kitschelt) that there could be systematic links between parties, political preferences, and, to use an old-fashioned term, one’s class position.

What we liked

There is an excellent fit between theory, data, and model, providing a solid foundation for their analysis. The authors have also conducted an impressive array of robustness tests, lending credibility to their findings. Moreover, they present a clear and comprehensible overview of the multinomial model and even modelled interactions. Well done.

What we did not like so much

The somewhat dense writing style makes the article challenging to read and digest. The delineation of the “poles” in their analysis appears somewhat arbitrary, which may raise questions about the robustness of their classification.

Making the theoretical assumptions (rooted in macro-sociology) more explicit would really have helped us. The study also overlooks the supply side of politics, neglecting to consider how parties and their offerings evolve over time, and fails to incorporate the concept of issue salience. But then again, it is quite busy as it is.

The reliance on a single item to measure the economic dimension might be seen as an oversimplification. And finally, the study is limited to just nine countries.

Take-home messages and further questions

This is a cool reminder of the importance of class voting. A particularly striking result is that for male production workers, economic attitudes have little effect on their support for radical right parties. More broadly, the study reveals surprisingly high levels of support for right-wing parties across various social groups. What is driving these trends? Why has the pattern of party competition in Western Europe changed so much?

10 thoughts on “Radical right voting as class-voting, 2024 edition”

  1. As you point out, the study you discussed “reveals surprisingly high levels of support for right-wing parties across various social groups.” I have a theory why this is so, and why in fact far-right political parties are a persisting phenomenon. My theory explains how the human social brain emerged and how the evolutionary heritage influences today’s society and politics. An important point is that the genetic code varies, and, of course, upbringing and environment produce additional variation. Thus, behavioral traits vary in strength across the population. Each has its statistical distribution with mean and standard deviation, and “fringes” of extreme over- and under-expression. Most people have good moral intuition, some are passionate about social justice, others less so. Most people are patriotic, but some are chauvinist, xenophobic, or racist. Although the inherited part is only a component, even if it is small, it is recreated whenever a baby is born, whereas education and influence of civilization always start from scratch. This might sound highly theoretical, but considering the inheritable component has very practical conclusions.
    See “Thirty Thousand Years of Loneliness. The Evolutionary Aspect of Being Human” by Joachim R. von der Heydt

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