Liveblogging the March 13 2016 state elections

21.37: I’ve written a quick summary of the elections. Calling it a day now.

21.35: The Greens are probably in in Rheinland-Pfalz and Sachsen-Anhalt. The FDP is probably out in Sachsen-Anhalt but in the other states.

20.49: Nice graphical summary of the scale of the shift

Seismic shift in #German #politics #populist #right in three state level governments over nearly 25% in the #East pic.twitter.com/RgrDmQyEqr

— Robert Grimm (@GrimmRob) March 13, 2016

20.39: Lest we forget: The Liberals are back in the game (though it’s not quite clear if they are back in parliament in S-A)

20.12: New batch of estimates, but no major changes. Greens strongest party in Baden-Württemberg, still not sure that they have inched past the five-percent threshold in Rheinland-Pfalz and Sachsen-Anhalt

20.01: Estimates settling on equilibria. Excellent overview here (in German, but you’ll get the point, just click the top three links)

19.58: NPD chairman comments on AfD success: bemoans “vacuum cleaner effect”, congratulates nonetheless

19.30: And in Sachsen-Anhalt

19.29: Same in Rheinland-Pfalz

19.27: New data for Baden-Württemberg confirm previous estimates

19.21: Next coalition in Sachsen-Anhalt could be CDU-SPD-Greens. If the Greens are in

19.20: The dust is slowly settling. Amazing how fast these pesky Germans count. Eat your heart out, Britain

19.17: Which means that so-called Grand Coalition is no longer viable

19.15: New data for Sachsen-Anhalt: AfD 24.2. Second strongest party, not much less than CDU

19.08: New data for Rheinland-Pfalz: Greens exactly at threshold (5pct). AfD at 12.5%

19.05: New data for Baden-Württemberg puts AfD at 14.9, SPD at 12.8

19:00: To state the obvious: massively increased volatility. And higher turnout.

18.57: Infratest/Dimap puts AfD in Baden-Württemberg ahead of SPD

18.51: SPD in Rheinland-Pfalz and Greens in Baden-Württemberg – personal parties?

18.34: AfD in Baden-Württemberg 12.5%, 10.2% in Rheinland-Pfalz

18.29: Greens in Baden-Württemberg 5 pct points ahead of CDU. History being made.

18.27: Exit poll recall for Sachsen-Anhalt: 40% of AfD voters former non-voters. Use with caution

18.05: Exit Polls: Incumbents bounce back, but existing coalitions unlikely to continue due to strong AfD

17.58: State elections in three major hypthenated German states: Baden-Württemberg, Rheinland-Pfalz, Sachsen-Anhalt. Polls close in 90 seconds

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