BBC interview on the AfD/UKIP link
This is what came out of a lengthy interview with the BBC’s Nina Lamparski on the AfD, Farage in Cologne, and all that jazz. Photo by Gage Skidmore
Analysing Bias in French Pre-Election Surveys with surveybias for Stata (example 1/3)
In a recent publication (Arzheimer & Evans 2014), we propose a new multinomial measure B for bias in opinion surveys. We also supply a suite of ado files for Stata, surveybias, which plugs into Stata’s framework for estimation programs and provides estimates for this and other measures along with their standard errors. This is the first instalment in a mini series of posts that show how our commands can be used with real-world data. Here, we analyse the quality of a single French pre-election poll.
A New Religious Cleavage In Austria?
ZEIT online fill their virtual pages with a piece on the plight of the Austrian Pastafarians, who strive for legal recognition by the state. Apparently the cult of the FSM has risen to such prominence that a ÖVP (Austrian Christian Democrats) politician felt obliged to tweet a picture of their party president shaking hands with…
Yes, You Can Move Your CATI Survey to the Cloud
As previously reported on this blog, my PhD student and I are doing a CATI survey on European Identities. Here is how it worked out for us.
The Great Nationalist Porn Scandal: Germany’s NPD Loses Yet Another Little Leader
You could not possibly make this up. Amidst a legal-constitutional battle over the NPD’s survival, the Secretary General (top executive manager) of Germany’s oldest right-wing extremist party NPD resigns over what is by now affectionately known as the Saarbrücken Penis Cake Affair. The story (as ridiculous as it gets) also involves Miss Nationalist Santa, and…
French Local Elections Round 2 Link Roundup
The first round of the French local elections created quite a stir, and the second wasn’t bad for the anoraks either.
Surveybias Version 1.1 for Stata is out
The shiny and new version 1.1 of our Stata addon surveybias is out. Surveybias estimates accuracy measures for pre-election polls and similar surveys where the true distribution of some categorical variable is known. Here is the lowdown.
Lord Salisbury on House of Cards?
[caption id="attachment_13132" align="alignleft" width="408"] Lord Salisbury on the drawbacks of universal suffrage. Cited in David Marquand, Britain since 1918, p. 54[/caption] MP, Peer, Secretary of State for India, Foreign Secretary, Leader of the Opposition, thrice Prime Minister of Britain, architect of the Empire and arch-Conservative. Robert Gascoyne-Cecil, third Marquess of Salisbury and colloquially known as…
German Liberal Democrats (FDP) Officially off the Public Opinion Radar
Party system change, illustrated. Germany’s FDP was represented in the federal parliament from 1949 until 2013. During this time, they were part of various government coalitions for more than four decades. In 2009, they managed to attract more than 14 per cent of the vote, their best national result ever. Many voters did not like…
NPD: No Interracial Sex Please, We’re German. Very much so
It’s been a boring three months without any offbeat news on the right-wing extremist NPD, but here is hope. The NPD tries to put some distance between themselves and a nationalist porn star.