Seehofer issues Merkel another ultimatum. So what?

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There is no doubt that Bavaria is struggling to accommodate the large numbers of refugees crossing the Austrian-German border every day. Bavaria’s infrastructure is already stretched, and, more importantly, the lack of co-ordination with the Austrians, the other German state governments, and the German federal government is nothing but baffling. There can also be no…

Polling accuracy: a Q&A with Kai Arzheimer and Jocelyn Evans | OUPblog

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Polling data is ubiquitous in today’s world, but it is is often difficult to easily understand the accuracy of polls. In a recent paper published in Political Analysis, Kai Arzheimer and Jocelyn Evans developed a new methodology for assessing the accuracy of polls in multiparty and multi-candidate elections.

Source: Polling accuracy: a Q&A with Kai Arzheimer and Jocelyn Evans | OUPblog

Oldies but goldies. For installing/updating the ado, checkout SSC. And here is even more background material on surveybias.

Scientific fraud, Soviet cosmonauts, fixed effects, comics: Links I liked

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Why Andre Gelman doesn’t use the terms “fixed” and “random”. If he doesn’t, we shouldn’t. Probably [contentcards url="http://t.co/3Hx29jse53"] PhD Comics: Overtime [contentcards url="http://t.co/OvTWTqYfTP"] Academic fraud in Political Science [contentcards url="http://t.co/ee0voTQ5tD"] Posters from the Soviet Space Age. [contentcards url="http://t.co/qn2Q3x4z18"] And finally, Fascinating longread on the LaCour affair [contentcards url="http://t.co/HlhC9PP3gX"]

On HoGeSa anniversary, minor clashes between right-wingers, “anti-fascists”, and police

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On the coattails of the Pegida anniversary, here is another far-right jubilee: A year on, self-declared hooligans have gathered once more for a “Hooligans against Salafists” (HoGeSa – those guys clearly love their acronyms) rally in Cologne. The two events could not have been more different. While Pegida is a largely regional weekly fixture that…

Links I Liked

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RT @internetofshit: And that’s when our smart devices learned to blackmail us Don’t forget blueprint for this building was stolen, too Unafraid of #Greek / #German national stereotypes? Try this hilariously stupid video: V is for #Varoufakis Exactly MT @BioDataGanache: Sometimes peer review goes wrong… dreadfully wrong. RT @SLdeLange: Charming new poster from UDC/SVP youth…

The Great German Right-Wing Carnival

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In Dresden, the style of political conflict has plunged to a new low yesterday night when Pegida marchers carried gallows “reserved for Merkel and [vice chancellor and SPD leader] Gabriel” – a classic extreme right prop that nicely complements the usual rallying cries of “lying press” and “traitors of the people”. At first I was…