Yardena Schwartz has written a portrait of the AfD’s Frauke Petry for Newsweek, with some input and a couple of verbatim quotes from me. [contentcards url="https://www.newsweek.com/2017/03/17/frauke-petry-germany-afd-party-nationalism-564872.html"]
Over at Diário de Notícias, Jose Fialho Gouveia has published another article on Germany, Schulz, and all that jazz, once more with a couple of my cents added. By the way, don’t you just love the imagery of beer jug hefting German politicians? [contentcards url="http://www.dn.pt/mundo/interior/merkel-perde-tapete-vermelho-e-schulz-pode-mesmo-ganhar-5745729.html"] If you’re interested, here is the English transcript of our…
Eight new German polls Over the last fortnight, eight new polls have been published: two by Insa, two by Forsa, and one apiece by Dimap, Emnid, GMS, and FGW. For GMS, it is only the second poll conducted since the beginning of this year (a third one was published early in January, with fieldwork partly…
Life is stranger than fiction: Former BNP leader Nick Griffin says he hopes to emigrate to Hungary within ’the next six month’. Of course, he will be an ex-pat, not an immigrant there. Over at the LSE blog, Eric Kaufman explains why the fear of ’Islamization’ is driving populist right support, and what to do…
With just six months to go until the 2017 Bundestag election, this is perhaps the ideal time to reflect on the rather remarkable 2013 election. Perhaps there is also a very fine line between Political Science and Contemporary History, and the German electoral studies community has a particular gift to step exactly on that line…
With just under seven months to go until the German federal election, I have recently begun once more to pool the pre-election polls from seven major survey firms. Since January, when the date for the election was set and the Spitzenkandidaten were selected, results from 35 polls with a median sample size of about 1900…
It’s that time of the electoral cycle again: With just under seven months to go until the federal election in September, I feel the urge to pool the German pre-election polls. I’ve burnt my fingers four years ago when I was pretty (though not 100%) sure that the FDP would clear the five per cent…
The Herald of Scotland ran a feature on Germany’s Far Right and its relationship with (Neo-)Nazism, with some input from me. [contentcards url="http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/15134407.Shadow_of_Nazism_hangs_over_Germany__39_s_resurgent_far_right/"]
I had another chat with Jose Fialho Gouveia that contributed to an article on the possible restarting of the French-German integration motor. Here is the article (in Portuguese). [contentcards url="http://www.dn.pt/mundo/interior/com-macron-e-schulz-de-mao-dada-ue-pode-reencontrar-motor-historico-5687961.html"]
Seven months before the election, what’s up with the Alternative für Deutschland? I’ve kept repeating this since the Alternative für Deutschland’s ascendancy in the polls began in late 2015: the AfD’s electoral popularity depends on a) steering away from open right-wing extremism, which has frustrated previous attempts to establish a right-wing populist party in Germany, and…