The regional elections in eastern Germany: 9 quick hits
Today’s elections in Brandenburg & Saxony are sending a new set of shock waves through German politics. Here are some quick thoughts. The AfD polled about 28 per cent in Saxony, their best result yet. Saxony is truly the AfD’s heartland. The AfD did also well in Brandenburg. In both states, they are led and…
Anglo-Irish Science Fiction, Poggenburg, and the Anthropocene that is not : 3 links I liked
Talking about the Anthropocene seems to be a stupid thing, for various reasons. Intriguing article full of very large numbers. Life imitating satire: hardliner Andre Poggenburg left the AfD to set up his own party. Seven months down the line, he tries to dissolve the new party, fails, and leaves (in German). Why don’t you watch,…
Authoritarian parties, liberal parties, terrorism, and an #rstats distraction: 4 links I liked
Apparently there is a market for left-wing authoritarian parties in Western Europe: “The consequences of supply gaps in two-dimensional policy spaces for voter turnout and political support” The plight of Ciudadanos, and Liberal parties more generally Terrorism does increase with immigration – but only homegrown, right-wing terrorism What a wonderful distraction: doing algebra and calculus…
Interview mit dem Deutschlandfunk zum Rechtsruck der AfD
Mit dem Deutschlandfunk habe ich über die Ergebnisse unserer aktuellen Studie zur AfD und ihren Wählern gesprochen. Das Interview konnte man in der Audiothek nachhören – inzwischen wegen der unsinnigen Löschverpflichtungen des Öffentlichen Rundfunks leider entfernt. .
Greece going to the polls, the invention of Essex, and fake Trump supporters: 3 links I liked
Greece is going to the polls this coming Sunday. Zoe Alipranti thinks she knows who is going to win “The invention of Essex: how a county became a caricature” is an excellent feature about the political economy of one (seriously under-appreciated) county. Some Trump supporters are actually stock-photo/video models. Are you surprised?
Right-wing terrorism in Germany: interview with BBC Newshour
Right-wing terrorism in Germany often goes unnoticed. Politicians, state agencies, the media, and the general public grossly underestimate the size of the problem. But after the murder of a centre-right politician, all of the sudden this is a big issue for German and international media. And so I got to talk to the BBC’s Newshour…
Video: The AfD’s transformation, 2013-2017
The “Alternative for Germany” began its political life as a softly eurosceptic breakaway from the political mainstream but has changed beyond all recognition. Using a very large dataset covering the full 2013-17 period, Carl Berning and I trace the transformation of the AfD’s electorate, which now fits the somewhat stereotypical radical right template. Read the full article, or watch the highlights in just under 90 seconds.
How the AfD and their voters veered to the Radical Right, 2013-17